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Quantum Computing Threatens Bitcoin’s Security by 2025

Key Points:
  • Industry leaders call for action on Bitcoin’s cryptographic security.
  • Anatoly Yakovenko predicts a 50% chance of quantum breakthrough.
  • Cryptocurrency assets potentially exposed to quantum threats.

Industry leaders issue warnings about Bitcoin’s security at the 2025 All-In Summit, emphasizing the imminent threat posed by quantum computing advancements.

The potential for quantum breakthroughs holds serious implications for Bitcoin, risking significant funds and necessitating urgent adoption of quantum-resistant measures.

Anatoly Yakovenko, co-founder of Solana, issued a significant warning at the All-In Summit 2025. He emphasized a 50% chance of a quantum computing breakthrough within five years. Yakovenko advocates migrating Bitcoin to a quantum-resistant signature scheme.

Other key figures like Nicolás Vescovo and David Carvalho also expressed concerns. Vescovo noted that Shor’s algorithm could compromise public keys visible on-chain. This could happen if a quantum computer runs the algorithm at scale.

The warnings have triggered discussions about market vulnerabilities. At least 25% of Bitcoin’s supply remains exposed to quantum computing attacks due to public keys. There is heightened focus, particularly on Bitcoin, to address these risks.

Immediate effects on the cryptocurrency industry could be substantial. If quantum computing advances, unsecured Bitcoin addresses could face fund thefts. This represents a pivotal moment for discussions on how to protect digital assets effectively.

Financially, there could be rapid outflows from affected addresses, causing potential market volatility. Researchers caution that on-chain data would signal such abrupt changes but no tangible events have yet occurred.

The industry’s preparation includes investigating post-quantum cryptography solutions. Approaches like Taproot-based upgrades are being explored. The goal is to protect Bitcoin by integrating quantum-resistant proofs, mitigating future threats.

Potential outcomes involve shifts in financial policy and regulatory frameworks. These depend on technological advancements and industry responses. The SEC is reviewing quantum readiness practices, though specific funding allocations remain confidential. Industry leaders emphasize the need for swift action.

“Once a quantum computer is powerful enough to run Shor’s algorithm at scale, it could derive the private key of any address whose public key is visible onchain. This would allow an attacker to forge valid transactions and steal funds.” — Nicolás Vescovo, Researcher, RootstockLabs

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