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Fidelity Study: Long-Term Holders Selling Bitcoin Amid Price Pressure

Key Points:
  • Fidelity research highlights long-term holders selling Bitcoin.
  • Long-term holders are significant sellers in current market.
  • Market impact reflects gradual, not dramatic shifts.

Long-term Bitcoin holders are primarily behind the recent price pressure, according to Fidelity Digital Assets’ research led by Chris Kuiper, occurring against a backdrop of observed market buying.

This development is significant as it reflects a shift in HODLer behavior impacting Bitcoin’s market dynamics, influencing investor strategies in an evolving cryptocurrency landscape.

The latest Fidelity research reveals that long-term Bitcoin holders have been principal sellers, contributing to current market pressures. Chris Kuiper, Vice President at Fidelity Digital Assets, reports a gradual decline in long-term holdings.

Chris Kuiper has emphasized that current Bitcoin market dynamics differ from previous cycles. The selling pattern is more controlled compared to past rapid drops, marking a new behavior among long-term holders.

Long-term holders selling has influenced Bitcoin’s recent price. Although institutional sell-offs aren’t significant, this trend impacts overall market sentiment and prices of associated large-cap assets like Ethereum.

Additional factors, such as macro conditions and seasonality, affect Bitcoin markets. Financial implications include potential tax considerations and positioning adjustments by holders seeking gains before year-end. Chris Kuiper noted: “Bitcoin’s performance has recently lagged gold’s, even the S&P, and people are getting tired. Many investors were waiting to sell into the historically strong seasonality of October and now November. When October’s typical strength did not materialize and year-end approached, long-term holders are looking to make year-end tax and positional changes, calling it a day with the gains they already have”.

Current selling corresponds to a 10 percentage point reduction in long-term holdings since early 2024. This contrasts with sharp declines of past cycles, suggesting a different market approach by HODLers.

These patterns suggest a slower market absorption of Bitcoin from long-term holders. Historically, past cycles showed more abrupt changes, indicating potential shifts in long-term holder strategies under current economic conditions.

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