- Bitnomial gets CFTC nod for U.S. prediction markets.
- No-action relief granted by CFTC divisions.
- Impact seen on crypto-centric derivatives markets.
The CFTC has granted Bitnomial no-action relief, authorizing U.S.-regulated prediction markets under specific conditions on December 12, 2025.
This authorization signifies a regulatory advance in the integration of crypto derivatives with prediction markets, potentially influencing future market liquidity and trading activities.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) granted no-action relief to Bitnomial, enabling it to offer regulated prediction markets in the U.S. This approval allows Bitnomial to integrate prediction markets with its existing crypto product lineup.
Bitnomial, a regulated Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, received the CFTC’s approval to launch event-based contracts. This makes it the only U.S. platform offering crypto prediction markets alongside its existing services.
The approval impacts crypto-focused derivatives markets, as Bitcoin and Ethereum are primary underlyings in Bitnomial’s Bitcoin Complex and Crypto Complex. It brings regulated prediction markets to the forefront in the U.S.
This CFTC decision could enhance market liquidity and investment strategies within regulated parameters, potentially attracting institutional interest. However, no new capital or grants have been reported following this announcement.
Bitnomial’s entry into U.S. prediction markets with CFTC endorsement could influence other event prediction venues. The market might see shifts in investment and trading strategies as these contracts tend to enhance risk management.
The CFTC’s relief mirrors prior actions for similar platforms, indicating a trend towards more regulated crypto event markets. Future implications for financial products and regulated frameworks are anticipated as the crypto space evolves.
Bitnomial received CFTC approval to offer prediction markets, becoming the only full-service U.S. exchange and clearinghouse offering perpetuals, futures, options, leveraged spot, and prediction markets under one regulatory framework with unified liquidity.
